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A psychohistorical math quiz

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For all you math gnurds and psychohistorians out there, what's the next number in this sequence, and what is its significance?

1776, 1861, 1941, ...

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On October 27th, 2010 05:55 pm (UTC), mjperson commented:
2032, When the US government completes its phase shift from its current configuration, occasionally called "the Washington system" to its next configuration, probably something along the lines of "the Manhattan system".

For those expecting an earlier date, I'd expect we're stuck with the Washington system for some time yet...
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On October 27th, 2010 07:07 pm (UTC), enugent commented:
I suspect this isn't the answer you're looking for, but...

1776 - Several Crown colonies secede to form independent states of the Union
1861 - Several Southern colonies attempt to secede from Union
1941 - State of Jefferson attempts to secede from California/Oregon (movement abandoned upon bombing of Pearl Harbor)
2005 - Cascadian independence movement created
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On October 27th, 2010 08:17 pm (UTC), psychohist replied:
The number doesn't fit the sequence very well.
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On October 28th, 2010 01:18 am (UTC), treptoplax commented:
Well, it's not linear - assuming quadratic, I believe we get 2016.

Under the same assumption, we get the *previous* term as 1686, shortly prior to the Glorious Revolution.
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On November 2nd, 2010 06:05 pm (UTC), enugent commented:
So, are you going to tell us your answer?
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On November 2nd, 2010 10:53 pm (UTC), psychohist replied:
All I know is that it seems like a sequence. I do think of the numbers as dates, and the associated events are the starts of the Glorious Revolution, the Revolutionary War, the Civil War, and U.S. participation in World War II.
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